Seems all the hoopla about “enthusiasm gaps” may have spurred Democrats to vote:
While it’s impossible to tell for whom people are voting, so far more Democrats than Republicans are casting ballots in Iowa, Maryland, North Carolina, Louisiana and Nevada’s heavily Democratic Clark County, which supplied two-thirds of the state’s voters in 2008.
Republicans are flexing their organizational muscles and leading the pace in Florida, even though Democrats have the edge in registered voters there, and in Colorado. The parties are running about even in Maine. Ohio’s early voting trends reflect the state’s swing-voting status: Democrats are ahead in the party stronghold of Cuyahoga County around Cleveland, while Republicans lead in GOP territory of Hamilton County, which is home to Cincinnati. Ballots are virtually even in Franklin County, which anchors fickle central Ohio.
In part, the Republicans may be suffering from there being too many polls. Where a handful of firms once produced opinion snapshots, now there are dozens feeding a multitude of media outlets. One might think the result would be less uncertainty, but the opposite is true: the more you measure something, the less you may actually know about it. Also, the more you try to narrow your information, the more you actually affect the result:
